What does Ryanair's recent profit slump tell us about the state of the aviation market in Europe?
When Ryanair reported poor June quarter results, it blamed a weak pricing environment, causing European airline shares to take a hit. However, subsequent results from competitors seem to tell a different story.
End of year review for 2023
A look back at the events of 2023 in European aviation and a few thoughts about 2024.
End of year review
A look back on the aviation industry in 2022 and some speculations about next year.
Will the oil price hike derail the airline recovery?
Just as airlines were beginning to see a strong recovery in bookings, will inflated fuel costs derail the long hoped for recovery in profitability?
European airlines count the cost of airspace closures
Collateral damage from the war in Ukraine continues to hammer airline share prices. On top of rocketing fuel prices, airspace restrictions over Russia are making flights to China, Japan and Korea uneconomic for European operators.
Predictions for 2022
With 2021 ending badly thanks to the Omicron variant, what will 2022 hold for the travel industry? I had a look at the possibilities.
Implications of Omicron for travel
Just as the travel industry was beginning to see some light at the end of the tunnel, with travel restrictions being lifted worldwide, the arrival of Omicron has seen restrictions reimposed once again. How long will they last this time?
A not quite end of year review
As we approach the end of what has been another eventful year for the aviation industry, I reflect on how things have turned out compared to my expectations at the end of 2020.
Top tips for the next changes to country travel classifications
Predicting upcoming changes to the UK's traffic light travel ratings has always been rather challenging, as the rationale for the decisions has never been very clear. With another revision due on July 15, I gave it another go.
Travel freedom for fully vaccinated Brits and more testing data published
From July 19, amber list countries will turn green for fully vaccinated Brits and the under 18s. We also got another dump of arrivals testing data. I took a look at what it all means for the travel industry.
Crunching the data from England’s arrival testing programme
The latest figures have just been released from England's international arrivals testing programme. I crunched the data to see what it tells us about how the system is performing.
Grant Shapps shocks the UK travel industry
Grant Shapps stuns the travel industry with a policy U-turn on reopening UK travel
Final predictions for the second iteration of the UK’s green and red lists
Tomorrow, the UK government is expected to update the green and red lists which govern its travel restrictions. I’ve done a final polish of my predictions for the changes, using the latest data.
Waiting for the lights to go green
Which countries are candidates to be added to the UK’s green and red lists when the next set of revisions gets announced?
The UK finally publishes its very short “green list”
The UK allows outbound leisure travel to resume and announces its green list of countries that won’t require quarantine. How did it compare to expectations?
Predicting country classifications for reopening UK travel
When outbound leisure travel resumes from the UK, which countries will be rated green, amber and red? I've had a stab at a prediction based on the key factors the government says it will use.
UK government deals another blow to the travel industry
The "Global Travel Taskforce" has just announced how the government intends to approach reopening international travel from the UK. We were hoping for clarity for travellers and a road-map to recovery for the industry. That is not what we got.
UK Government continues its “wait and see” policy on international travel
The UK government had promised some further news on the timing for lifting the ban on overseas travel at today's COVID press conference. What did we hear?
Will the Brits get an overseas break this summer?
Millions of Brits are anxious to get back to their overseas holidays this summer and are hoping that the UK’s successful vaccination rollout will enable them to do so. What are the chances they will be allowed to get away for some sun and sand?
Airline pricing strategies for the summer restart
What do the current prices on offer for August tell us about UK airline strategies for the hoped for summer restart in travel?